ivan.digital / tech.blog / tech.pulsar /
January 11, 2026 at 13:00 UTC

📈 FX Projections

Experimental — Currency direction forecasts based on interest rate differentials and central bank communication sentiment.

TOP PICK
↘ USD/TRY
Expected move: +0.94% over 2 weeks
Rate diff: +34.2%, Hawkish sentiment, Low volatility
Projections based on rate differentials, CB communication sentiment (NPS), and realized volatility.
Currency Spot 1 Week 2 Weeks 4 Weeks Vol 20d Drivers
EUR/USD
1.1642
Jan 09
 1.1628 → 1.1615 → 1.1588 ↘ 4.5% NPS: -1.00
EUR/USD
1.1642
Jan 09
 1.1626 → 1.1611 → 1.1579 ↘ 4.5% Rate: -1.60%, NPS: -1.00
GBP/USD
1.3417
Jan 09
 1.3405 → 1.3393 → 1.3369 ↘ 5.3% NPS: -0.75
USD/JPY
157.64
Jan 09
 157.68 → 157.71 → 157.78 → 6.8% Rate: -3.00%, NPS: +0.54
USD/CAD
1.3883
Jan 09
 1.3864 → 1.3845 → 1.3808 ↘ 3.6% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CNY
6.9823
Jan 09
 6.9851 → 6.9878 → 6.9933 → 1.3% Rate: -0.75%, NPS: +0.33
USD/BRL
5.3885
Jan 09
 5.4022 → 5.4159 ↗ 5.4434 ↗ 11.1% Rate: +11.00%, NPS: +1.00
USD/CHF
0.8000
Jan 09
 0.7988 → 0.7975 ↘ 0.7950 ↘ 5.5% Rate: -3.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/ZAR
16.57
Jan 09
 16.58 → 16.58 → 16.58 → 4.9% Rate: +3.25%, NPS: -0.33
USD/INR
90.22
Jan 09
 90.34 → 90.47 → 90.71 ↗ 4.5% Rate: +1.50%, NPS: +1.00
AUD/USD
0.6675
Jan 09
 0.6683 → 0.6691 → 0.6706 ↗ 5.6% Rate: -0.15%, NPS: +1.00
USD/KRW
1459.84
Jan 09
 1457.91 → 1455.99 → 1452.16 ↘ 9.8% Rate: -1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/MXN
18.03
Jan 09
 18.03 → 18.04 → 18.05 → 4.3% Rate: +3.25%
USD/PLN
3.6195
Jan 09
 3.6239 → 3.6282 → 3.6370 ↗ 5.2% Rate: +0.25%, NPS: +1.00
USD/NZD
1.7470
Jan 09
 1.7457 → 1.7445 → 1.7419 → 7.2% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -0.50
USD/HUF
331.58
Jan 09
 331.46 → 331.34 → 331.09 → 6.8% Rate: +2.75%, NPS: -0.60
USD/RUB
80.37
Jan 09
 80.39 → 80.41 → 80.45 → 16.8% Rate: +12.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/TRY
43.16
Jan 09
 43.36 ↗ 43.56 ↗ 43.97 ↗ 1.1% Rate: +34.25%, NPS: +1.00
USD/NGN
1425.84
Jan 09
 1429.82 → 1433.80 ↗ 1441.81 ↗ 3.3% Rate: +23.25%, NPS: +0.71
USD/RSD
100.71
Jan 09
 100.74 → 100.76 → 100.81 → 3.5% Rate: +2.00%
Direction: ↗ = currency appreciation vs USD, ↘ = depreciation, → = stable.
Vol 20d: Annualized volatility — low <5% | med 5-10% | high >10%.
Rate diff: CB rate minus Fed rate. Positive = carry inflows. Negative = outflows.
NPS: Net Policy Sentiment. Hawk = tightening. Dove = easing.